Yes, Im talking about billionaire organization magnate Elon Musk.On the one hand, Musk has a fantastic once-in-a-generation intelligence. Musk is the epitome of a big-picture individual with the vision and gumption to take far-fetched, pie-in-the-sky concepts and ground them in reality. And Tesla, well we all understand how Teslas doing:
Seen through the lens of the stock market and Musks massive cultish following of sycophants on social media, one would be forgiven for thinking hes the second coming of Henry Ford blended with Albert Einstein and, well, Nikolai Tesla. Musks attention is split in between his many companies, keeping his Bro Leader One image on social media and in celeb circles, and investing what appears to be the bulk of his time trolling those who disagree with any of his organization choices, firebrand political ideas, or social opinions.Albert Einstein was an informed scientist and a leading professional in his domain (physics), while Musk is an engineer and a jack-of-all-trades when it comes to technology. And, Tesla, well, even Musk states he chooses Edison to Tesla due to the Nikolais absence of marketing savvy and lesser popularity in the public eye.Musks interests appear to significantly lie beyond science, engineering, and technology. Keep in mind: nobody but the individual who buys a Tesla concurs to get involved in Musks autonomous driving experiments, yet everybody on the roadway has to. Its time for Musk to take his PT Barnum act to another startup and leave Tesla to cooler heads.
Seen through the lens of the stock exchange and Musks huge cultish following of sycophants on social networks, one would be forgiven for thinking hes the 2nd coming of Henry Ford mixed with Albert Einstein and, well, Nikolai Tesla. But heres the rub: All three of those comparisons are outrageous. Henry Ford focused his energy and enthusiasm on his singular function. Musks attention is divided between his various business, maintaining his Bro Leader One image on social media and in celeb circles, and spending what appears to be the bulk of his time trolling those who disagree with any of his service choices, firebrand political concepts, or social opinions.Albert Einstein was an educated scientist and a leading professional in his domain (physics), while Musk is an engineer and a jack-of-all-trades when it pertains to innovation. And, Tesla, well, even Musk says he chooses Edison to Tesla due to the Nikolais absence of marketing savvy and lower popularity in the public eye.Musks interests appear to significantly lie beyond engineering, innovation, and science. His discourse has actually ended up being so unhinged in recent years that Grimes, his partner and the mom of his child, has actually gone on the record to notify people that she does not believe Musk is a « guyss ideal activist, » however that hes just « truly immature. » Realistically, who cares if Elon Musks right-leaning commentary has led to him coming out as an anti-science false information peddler, best wing extreme ideologist, and misogynist? Even when he goes off the deep end and accuses somebody of pedophilia, without proof and eventually admitting having no basis for the allegation besides a desire to hurt the track record of someone who disagreed with him, Musks investors and the boards of the companies he runs dont care. Up until they do. Musks remarks often get him in regulatory trouble. His veteran fight with the SEC has actually threatened Tesla on more than one occasion, and recent discuss whatever from Gamestop to Bitcoin have caused shuffles in markets that have economists fretted about Musk-created bubbles forming in a fragile post-COVID economy. However, once again, Musks fans can easily shrug that off. Take a glimpse back up there at that Tesla stock image. If it makes you smile, youre already persuaded. Theres nothing I, or anyone else, can ever say to shake your faith in Musks magic.For everyone else, however, I invite you to cast your vision forward.Teslas the only cars and truck business still wagering that pure computer vision will fix self-governing driving. Specialists in synthetic intelligence– experts who, like Einstein, focus on science-based options instead of market-based hype– believe Musk and Tesla are barking up the incorrect tree.In action, Musk typically claims his rivals are « relying » on LIDAR and hence « doomed to fail. » Yet, to the finest of my understanding, the only autonomous car company relying on a single-pronged approach is Tesla and its vision-only method.Worse, Teslas the only car company forcing the basic public to get involved in uncontrolled try outs its clients in control of its technology.BlueCruise! We tested it in the real life, so our consumers dont need to. Pic.twitter.com/dgqVkWH31r— Jim Farley (@jimfarley98) April 14, 2021Worse, Musks fans think hes recorded the market on consumer-facing self-driving vehicles by innovating and engineering services to show up. Heres the problem with that: theres a dozen companies out there that might easily execute a system equivalent to Teslas « Autopilot » and « Full Self Driving. » Those innovations are well within Google and Apples purview (did we all forget that Google and Waymo are sister business and that the GANfather, Ian Goodfellow, operates at Apple now?). I d even be prepared to wager Nvidia could toss together a Tesla-equivalent autonomous vehicle system in a matter of months if it selected to as well. Deep learning and computer vision arent new or particularly challenging in 2021. So, why arent they? The short answer: since Autopilot and Full Self Driving dont work. No other automobile manufacturer is willing to put a potentially fatal item out on the streets ahead of policy that doesnt even work appropriately. The reasons for this are myriad, however heres 2 extremely important ones: People keep dying in Tesla automobiles since they do not follow the clear directions to always keep their hands on the wheel and their eyes on the road. Elon Musk has been seen on cam several times taking his attention off the roadway and his hands off the wheel to show how « safe » they are. Regulators do not discover this habits capitivating, in truth it could be considered incorrect advertising that endangers the basic public. Keep in mind: nobody but the individual who purchases a Tesla concurs to take part in Musks autonomous driving experiments, yet everybody on the roadway needs to. And, 2nd, guideline is coming. Genuine autonomous vehicles, like the kind Waymo is working on, will likely be here within a matter of years. These most likely will not be customer facing (theyll be robotaxis, not vehicles you buy), and they will not work all over at. Theyll operate in environments theyve been tested in till facilities can be constructed to support them in other places.What this implies, whether you praise Musk or not, is that Tesla remains in a race versus time. It has to double-down and win on Musks insistence that computer system vision alone can solve self-governing driving before Waymo, Apple, or some other company finds out a working hybrid system. Losing, for Tesla, suggests losing all the time and money its invested into a vision-only system. Teslas also connected its future to Bitcoin, anti-woke counterculture, extreme right politics, and a CEO who freely castigates and feuds with US regulatory authorities. Thats a hard roadmap for a company to work with.Maybe Apple and Waymo will fail. Possibly the SEC and other governing bodies will alter their stance on market interference and start to enjoy Musks muddling. However, I would not bank on it. Its most likely Tesla will stop working to produce a self-driving car (Musk said he d have a million on the roadway before the end of 2020, its nearly mid 2021 and the tally is: 0). Its possible that Elons bumbling on Twitter and insistence on meddling in the stock exchange will ultimately lower serious repercussions from the United States federal government and Tesla might be the company that suffers one of the most. Not to discuss the marketing hit Tesla will take for stopping working to live up to its own hype. And all of that would be a weeping shame. Because, in my viewpoint, Tesla is the best vehicle producer on earth. It set the requirement for electric cars and changed the way vehicles are made. Nevertheless, Musks market manipulation and insistence on a one-track solution for autonomous driving do nothing but jeopardize the companys future. Its time for Musk to take his PT Barnum act to another startup and leave Tesla to cooler heads. Beause it appears as though hes on an individual mission to prove himself right, by showing that AI tech from 2014 is the future of autonomous driving which hes more powerful than the SEC.Thats not how you run a successful company, its how you destroy it.